Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maggard | 40 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| K. Smith | 39 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. Roy | 34 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - |
| S. McCabe | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Muensterman | 25 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| E. Harmeyer | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Jones | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown | 39 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| L. Odom | 37 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - |
| E. Mathias | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Greenwell | 30 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| F. Suggs | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Adams | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Faz Davalos | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Roma | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter