Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas State Wildcats | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamau Stokes * | 39 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Barry Brown * | 39 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Sneed * | 30 | 7-14 | 5-8 | 3-7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Cartier Diarra * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Makol Mawien * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mike McGuirl | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Amaad Wainright | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dean Wade | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Stockard III | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 40 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-20 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 39 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 11-12 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Knox * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nick Richards * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Quade Green | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Sacha Killeya-Jones | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter