Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M Aggies | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✗ (26.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -21 (65-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admon Gilder * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Davis * | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| TJ Starks * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Hogg * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Robert Williams * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Tonny Trocha-Morelos | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Chandler | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Savion Flagg | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chris Collins | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isiah Jasey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mark French | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Pinson * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 35 | 7-17 | 2-10 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 29 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 26 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shea Rush | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kane Ma | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Walker Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Rohlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter