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2018-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% +18.4 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.7 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.2% 96.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.8% 76.2% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +14 (61-47). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ahmaad Rorie * 39 6-17 2-7 1-1 7 2 2 0 1 15 8 -
Bobby Moorehead * 39 1-5 0-3 1-2 9 0 1 1 1 3 8 -
Fabijan Krslovic * 34 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Michael Oguine * 33 5-11 1-3 4-4 7 3 0 0 3 15 11 -
Jamar Akoh * 22 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 2 2 -
Sayeed Pridgett 18 3-11 0-1 1-2 2 0 2 0 1 7 -1 -
Timmy Falls 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -2 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moritz Wagner 32 2-6 1-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 5 4 -
Charles Matthews * 38 7-13 0-3 6-8 11 1 0 0 5 20 14 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 34 3-11 1-6 4-7 5 2 2 0 3 11 6 -
Moritz Wagner * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 5 10 -
Zavier Simpson * 21 2-3 1-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 5 9 -
Isaiah Livers * 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Duncan Robinson 25 2-4 1-3 2-2 0 0 1 1 0 7 5 -
Jaaron Simmons 14 3-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jon Teske 8 0-2 0-0 2-4 2 1 1 2 0 2 6 -
Jordan Poole 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Eli Brooks 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter