Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kell * | 38 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Pope * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| D. Watson * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Montana | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Rooks | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Schakel | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davis Jr. * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Gray * | 36 | 12-25 | 4-6 | 11-15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 19 | - |
| D. Davis * | 27 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| G. Robinson Jr. * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Brady * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Zanna | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| A. Brooks | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| F. White Jr. | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Harris Jr. | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Grant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter