Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✗ (24.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -17 (62-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelan Martin * | 39 | 9-16 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Kamar Baldwin * | 36 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Aaron Thompson * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Sean McDermott * | 31 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Wideman * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Nate Fowler | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Henry Baddley | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Paul Jorgensen | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Barford * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Daryl Macon * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Anton Beard * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Adrio Bailey * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Darious Hall | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Trey Thompson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Jones | 12 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Arlando Cook | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gabe Osabuohien | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter