Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | West Virginia Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: West Virginia Mountaineers +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brion Whitley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Stark * | 39 | 1-12 | 1-10 | 6-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. * | 36 | 8-11 | 5-8 | 6-7 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 32 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Dupree | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Zach Hopewell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jachai Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevon Carter * | 39 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| D. Miles Jr. * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Harris * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Esa Ahmad * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Sagaba Konate * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Teddy Allen | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Logan Routt | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| James Bolden | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Lamont West | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chase Harler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter