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2018-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 59.1% 40.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—
Margin 54.4% 45.6% -1.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -5 (80-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Stevens * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 30 31 -
S. Garner * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 19 20 -
T. Carr * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 7 1 0 4 25 35 -
J. Harrar * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 4 14 -
J. Reaves * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 3 6 -
J. Wheeler 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 -
J. Moore 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 4 11 -
D. Zemgulis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rowsey * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 0 0 1 29 39 -
M. Howard * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 21 22 -
S. Hauser * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 1 0 13 23 -
S. Anim * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 6 5 -
M. Heldt * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
T. John 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 5 4 10 -
J. Cain 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 7 14 -
G. Elliott 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter