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2018-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% +10.8 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +4 (85-81). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Nowell * 38 6-13 2-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 14 5 -
Matisse Thybulle * 35 6-10 1-4 0-0 3 4 4 3 1 13 16 -
David Crisp * 34 5-9 1-5 1-2 0 1 1 0 3 12 2 -
Noah Dickerson * 29 8-11 0-0 6-8 9 2 1 0 3 22 20 -
Sam Timmins * 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Nahziah Carter 24 5-7 4-4 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 14 10 -
Dominic Green 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
Hameir Wright 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -1 -

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emmett Naar * 40 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 12 0 0 4 1 9 -
Calvin Hermanson * 40 5-8 4-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 14 9 -
Jordan Ford * 35 8-13 3-6 7-8 4 1 3 0 1 26 20 -
Jock Landale * 29 7-12 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 14 9 -
Tanner Krebs * 15 3-6 2-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 10 9 -
Evan Fitzner 30 8-14 0-0 4-4 6 1 1 0 3 20 11 -
Jordan Hunter 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 2 1 0 7 -

* = starter