Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | -4.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10 (63-73). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Carr * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 33 | - |
| Josh Reaves * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 33 | - |
| Shep Garner * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Lamar Stevens * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| John Harrar * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Julian Moore | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Deivis Zemgulis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamari Wheeler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Gibbs * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Matt Farrell * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rex Pflueger * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Bonzie Colson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Martinas Geben * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Nikola Djogo | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| John Mooney | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Austin Torres | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter