Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +24 (84-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Mata Boix | 37 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Johnson | 37 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| D. Harris | 37 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Bowers | 37 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 13 | - |
| K. Harris | 32 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Cliff | 12 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Olverson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Blake | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Williams | 35 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| G. Pack | 32 | 12-17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 22 | - |
| B. Salas | 31 | 12-20 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| T. Childress | 30 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Cooper | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Toilolo | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Prince | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Mills | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Wilmore | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Robinson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Mills | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Atkinson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Lopez | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter