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2018-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Troy Trojans Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 79.5% 20.5% -
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% -
Margin 69.0% 31.0% -4.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.7% 35.3% -

Actual: Little Rock Trojans +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Robinson 35 3-10 1-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 7 2 -
H. Winchester 32 2-13 1-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 5 -2 -
A. Rivers 30 3-14 0-3 5-6 9 1 2 1 3 11 7 -
S. Holmes 29 5-11 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 0 1 10 9 -
K. Robinson 27 6-16 1-5 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 14 6 -
J. Sanders 17 1-4 1-2 2-2 4 1 2 0 3 5 5 -
C. Gibson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Townson 40 2-5 1-2 6-8 5 5 0 0 6 11 10 -
R. DeGray 36 9-14 1-2 3-6 6 0 2 2 1 22 17 -
T. Moore 29 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 0 6 4 8 -
R. DeGray 29 5-6 0-0 3-9 6 0 3 0 2 13 14 -
K. Keys 27 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 6 4 -
T. Lasker 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 0 -
Y. Inkina 15 1-5 0-0 4-5 3 2 1 0 1 6 6 -
K. Collier 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 1 1 -

* = starter