Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +32 (66-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Plummer | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Wilson | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| N. Mathews | 30 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| L. Gosnell | 30 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 | - |
| P. Stanley | 28 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| M. Calder | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| A. Hampton | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Jeffery | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Gomez | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Townson | 35 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| T. Moore | 32 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. Lasker | 31 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. DeGray | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Y. Inkina | 22 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| K. Keys | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. DeGray | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Collier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Battle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Hurlburt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Chastain | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Shepard | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter