Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Plummer | 40 | 7-15 | - | 4-6 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 31 |
| T. Wilson | 39 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 7 | |
| N. Mathews | 36 | 6-12 | -1 | - | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 6 | |
| P. Stanley | 33 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 10-11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 18 | |
| A. Hampton | 25 | 1-4 | - | - | 6 | 2 | 4 | ||||
| M. Calder | 15 | 1-1 | - | -2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| L. Gosnell | 12 | -3 | -1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wallace | 38 | 5-18 | -4 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 | |
| S. Taylor | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | |
| P. Tennison | 28 | 6-11 | 4-9 | - | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | |
| M. Heckert | 22 | 2-8 | - | -2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | ||
| L. Peevy | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | - | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | ||
| J. Ford | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | - | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | |
| T. Hopkins | 8 | -1 | - | - | 2 | 1 | |||||
| T. Hopkins | 5 | - | - | - | 1 | -1 |
* = starter