Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Murray * | 40 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Alex Larsson * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Koh Flippin * | 32 | 0-7 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Dikymbe Martin * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Rosser * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Dominick Pickett | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Menno Dijkstra | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| James Jackson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Idy Diallo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alec Hickman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrison Goode * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| TJ Shorts * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Michael Onyebalu * | 35 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Siler Schneider * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -3 | - |
| A.J. John * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Joe Mooney | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Colin Russell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Arell Hennings | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Rogers Printup | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter