Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +23 (82-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| K. Harris * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| C. Brown * | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| G. Littles * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Bowling * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| I. Thomas | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. DeBisschop | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Anderson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Hines | 9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. De Laveaga | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Radebaugh * | 36 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| A. Spight * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Davis * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| J. Sanders * | 30 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| T. Morgan * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Edwards | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Glotta | 13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 9 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| M. Drgon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Vercellino | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Sylla | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Reyes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Loose | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter