Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -7 (75-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watson * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Kell * | 34 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 17 | - |
| M. Pope * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Montana | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Rooks | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Schakel | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Simons * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Sam Logwood * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Antino Jackson * | 25 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Chris McNeal * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vladimir Pinchuk * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Mathis | 27 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Joe Furstinger | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dane Kuiper | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Makuach Maluach | 13 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
* = starter