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San Diego State Aztecs 82
@
New Mexico Lobos 75
2018-03-10

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 54.4% 45.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% - ✓
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 ✓ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% - ✗

Actual: New Mexico Lobos -7 (75-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Watson * 35 5-11 1-3 1-2 3 5 2 0 2 12 9 -
T. Kell * 34 10-16 1-3 7-8 2 3 1 0 1 28 17 -
M. Pope * 26 5-8 0-0 6-8 5 1 0 2 0 16 16 -
J. McDaniels * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 6 6 -
M. Mitchell * 20 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 5 2 -
J. Hemsley 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 3 2 -
M. Montana 18 2-5 1-3 1-3 4 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
K. Rooks 14 0-1 0-0 5-6 4 0 0 1 1 5 8 -
J. Schakel 9 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Simons * 31 4-8 2-4 1-2 3 0 3 1 1 11 9 -
S. Logwood * 26 3-7 1-2 4-5 5 4 1 0 6 11 8 -
A. Jackson * 25 5-13 2-6 5-5 4 7 1 0 2 17 14 -
C. McNeal * 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
V. Pinchuk * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
A. Mathis 27 4-9 2-7 3-3 3 1 1 0 0 13 9 -
J. Furstinger 26 6-9 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 12 10 -
D. Kuiper 19 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
M. Maluach 13 1-7 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -

* = starter