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2018-03-09

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 74.7% 25.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 49.7% 50.3% +0.1 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% -
Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% -
Log Adjusted 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -17 (73-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Watson * 32 5-11 4-7 6-6 5 2 0 0 1 20 15 -
J. McDaniels * 29 6-8 0-1 5-6 12 4 0 1 0 17 26 -
T. Kell * 28 3-9 1-4 4-6 5 5 2 0 1 11 13 -
M. Mitchell * 27 4-8 2-5 3-4 5 3 3 0 2 13 14 -
M. Pope * 22 6-8 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 14 7 -
J. Hemsley 20 3-5 1-3 2-4 1 1 0 0 4 9 2 -
K. Rooks 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
M. Montana 12 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
J. Schakel 9 0-1 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. Narain 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Sohikish 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Martin * 39 3-11 2-7 1-2 4 8 2 0 1 9 11 -
J. Caroline * 35 9-19 3-6 4-7 10 4 2 1 3 25 20 -
C. Martin * 34 5-18 0-9 3-4 4 2 3 1 0 13 5 -
H. Cooke * 28 3-5 2-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 10 8 -
K. Stephens * 20 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -5 -
J. Hall 29 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 8 3 -
E. Foster 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Brent 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Cunningham 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
C. Tooley 1 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Cooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter