Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -17 (73-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watson * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| T. Kell * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Pope * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Rooks | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Montana | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Schakel | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Narain | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Sohikish | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Martin * | 39 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 35 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| C. Martin * | 34 | 5-18 | 0-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| H. Cooke * | 28 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Stephens * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| J. Hall | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| E. Foster | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Brent | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Tooley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Cooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter