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2018-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 81.3% 18.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 26.1% 73.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% -
Log Adjusted 17.4% 82.6% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. McEwen * 40 5-12 2-6 2-4 8 6 1 0 3 14 14 -
S. Merrill * 37 8-15 7-10 5-6 5 5 1 0 2 28 22 -
J. Pearre * 30 3-6 3-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 9 7 -
D. Brown Jr. * 23 3-8 1-3 3-4 1 1 0 0 3 10 1 -
Q. Taylor * 21 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
D. Brito 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
A. Dargenton 19 0-1 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
D. Henson 10 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Williams * 34 8-17 3-7 5-6 4 5 2 0 1 24 17 -
J. Jessup * 33 4-10 3-7 0-0 6 0 3 0 1 11 9 -
C. Sengfelder * 26 3-6 3-5 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 11 10 -
Z. Haney * 26 2-6 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 2 4 7 -
C. Hutchison * 25 4-13 0-3 6-7 3 3 0 0 2 14 5 -
A. Hobbs 24 3-6 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 9 7 -
M. Dickinson 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 0 0 -
R. Jorch 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter