Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Morsell * | 38 | 5-19 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Zane Martin * | 37 | 6-17 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Brian Starr * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Thomas * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Keith | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jordan McNeil | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Dennis Tunstall | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jeffrey Prophete | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Cohn * | 39 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Connor Burchfield * | 38 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Matt Milon * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Justin Pierce * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nathan Knight * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Paul Rowley | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Oliver Tot | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter