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2018-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Loyola Chicago Ramblers Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% - โœ“
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“

Actual: Loyola Chicago Ramblers +16 (65-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
William Tinsley * 36 3-10 2-6 0-0 10 0 1 2 0 8 11 -
Keyshawn Evans * 33 3-15 1-9 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 7 -3 -
Phil Fayne * 30 5-12 0-0 2-4 12 1 3 1 1 12 16 -
Milik Yarbrough * 26 6-15 0-1 0-0 4 5 0 0 5 12 1 -
Madison Williams * 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 -
Isaac Gassman 23 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
Matt Hein 23 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 0 0 -
Daouda N'Diaye 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Taylor Bruninga 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Loyola Chicago Ramblers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Custer * 35 2-9 1-5 1-2 2 6 0 0 3 6 2 -
D. Ingram * 31 5-11 4-9 4-5 8 1 2 0 0 18 18 -
M. Townes * 31 2-7 0-3 0-2 7 2 1 0 2 4 5 -
B. Richardson * 29 3-5 2-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 8 10 -
C. Krutwig * 25 5-9 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 1 1 11 11 -
A. Jackson 14 2-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
L. Williamson 14 2-4 2-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 0 7 7 -
C. Satterwhite 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 1 6 -
B. Skokna 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Shanks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Negron 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter