Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Evans * | 37 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Phil Fayne * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 12-17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Milik Yarbrough * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | - |
| William Tinsley * | 32 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Madison Williams * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Matt Hein | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Isaac Gassman | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Daouda N'Diaye | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Taylor Bruninga | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Elijah Clarance | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lloyd * | 44 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Cook * | 39 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Armon Fletcher * | 36 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 3-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Kavion Pippen * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Bartley * | 20 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Smithpeters | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Rudy Stradnieks | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Wiley | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter