Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +16 (84-68). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Isaac Johnson * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 27 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Craig Hinton * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 25 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| O'Showen Williams | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Hunter Seacat | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zach Cottrell | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nick Hough | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Wilson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trey Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Kerley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Neal * | 37 | 13-18 | 6-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 25 | - |
| Nathan Hawkins * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kaelon Wilson * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Julian Harris * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Johnny Hamilton * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Hervey | 31 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| DJ Bryant | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mairega Clarke | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Link Kabadyundi | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Scott Muirhead | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Davion Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter