Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +7 (69-62). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Ajayi * | 37 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Rodrick Sikes * | 34 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Herb McGee * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Morris * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Dederick Lee | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Joe Thompson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Andrews | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Pettway | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordon Varnado * | 37 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| B.J. Miller * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Alex Hicks * | 24 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Javan Johnson * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Baker | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Juan Davis Jr. | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Darian Adams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter