Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +29 (93-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaizec Lottie * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Oliver Black * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Pippins * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Kris Bankston * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K.J. Gilmore * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Marcus | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Wadly Mompremier | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Black | 19 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Camron Reedus | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Corcoran | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Brady | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Cezanne Carson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Craig Hinton * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 24 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Isaac Johnson * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| O'Showen Williams | 26 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 7-9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Hunter Seacat | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jake Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Hough | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Cottrell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Kerley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trey Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter