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2018-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 39.4% 60.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 โœ— (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% - โœ—

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -12 (76-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mason 40 6-13 2-5 0-0 7 5 1 1 2 14 13 -
D. Cosper 36 4-14 2-8 3-4 4 5 3 0 0 13 11 -
M. Monk 36 7-16 3-5 3-3 1 7 3 0 1 20 14 -
K. Williams 32 11-13 0-0 3-3 10 0 2 1 2 25 23 -
R. Northcross-Baker 27 4-13 4-12 0-0 6 7 0 0 0 12 12 -
B. Zimmerman 17 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
T. Thomas 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
K. Swenson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Walker 33 3-9 3-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 9 1 -
K. Overbeck 30 7-8 0-0 2-2 14 3 1 0 3 16 23 -
C. Reed 29 4-10 1-4 7-7 9 2 0 0 3 16 14 -
C. Hall 27 2-6 2-4 0-0 5 5 0 0 3 6 7 -
K. Clemons-Green 23 2-8 1-6 1-1 3 6 0 0 2 6 5 -
R. Bell 22 5-10 0-3 2-6 4 0 1 1 3 12 5 -
A. Newby 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
E. Whalen 16 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 7 1 -
B. Horrocks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter