Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +17 (68-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanze Egekeze * | 39 | 2-12 | 1-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Austin Luke * | 38 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kevin McClain * | 37 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Dylan Windler * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Hadden * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Seth Adelsperger | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Burton Sampson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mack Mercer | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Benkert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Stark * | 39 | 10-21 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 11 | - |
| T. Miller Jr. * | 37 | 4-17 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 34 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 32 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Dupree | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Hopewell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jachai Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter