Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +7 (70-63). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Drumwright * | 39 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Christian Cunningham * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Marlon Hunter * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jamall Gregory * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Norbertas Giga * | 17 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Jason Burnell | 21 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jacara Cross | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyrik Edwards | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Cam Martin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ashton Spears | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Stark * | 40 | 7-21 | 4-12 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Shaq Buchanan * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Terrell Miller Jr. * | 31 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Smith | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Dupree | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Byron Hawkins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter