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Massachusetts Minutemen 75
@
George Mason Patriots 80
2018-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Massachusetts Minutemen George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 25.2% 74.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% - ✓
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 ✓ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% - ✓

Actual: George Mason Patriots +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Massachusetts Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Pipkins * 37 9-15 5-8 8-8 5 4 2 0 5 31 22 -
C.J. Anderson * 34 5-8 0-1 1-1 5 5 1 0 3 11 11 -
U. McLean * 33 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 2 3 -
C. Pierre * 32 5-9 3-5 4-4 2 1 1 1 2 17 11 -
M. Hines * 30 3-6 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 1 2 9 10 -
R. Miller 22 1-3 1-2 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
R. West 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Turner-Morris 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Franklin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Goanar Mar * 33 4-9 1-3 7-9 2 0 2 0 2 16 9 -
Otis Livingston * 32 3-11 1-4 14-14 2 2 0 0 0 21 14 -
Justin Kier * 28 3-13 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 9 0 -
Greg Calixte * 25 3-5 0-0 2-2 7 0 3 1 1 8 13 -
Jaire Grayer * 20 1-9 0-3 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 2 2 -
Javon Greene 26 4-7 3-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 11 6 -
Ian Boyd 23 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 -
A.J. Wilson 13 4-5 0-0 3-4 9 0 1 0 2 11 14 -

* = starter