Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
Actual: VCU Rams +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Landers * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 35 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 34 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Josh Cunningham * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Darrell Davis * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kostas Antetokounmpo | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Matej Svoboda | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Tillman * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Jonathan Williams * | 30 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Issac Vann * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| De'Riante Jenkins * | 26 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sean Mobley * | 20 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Malik Crowfield | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mike'l Simms | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Santos-Silva | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Khris Lane | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Maye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter