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2018-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Coleman * 39 5-14 0-3 10-10 3 4 2 0 2 20 13 -
K. Roach * 37 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 0 3 0 2 4 2 -
Dylan Osetkowski * 36 2-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Jericho Sims * 30 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 2 6 -
Jase Febres * 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Jacob Young 32 11-17 6-7 1-3 2 2 1 1 0 29 18 -
Mohamed Bamba 14 4-5 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 10 9 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keenan Evans * 35 7-10 2-4 9-14 3 3 0 0 2 25 19 -
Jarrett Culver * 33 5-14 2-4 1-2 11 3 2 1 2 13 14 -
Z. Smith * 28 4-9 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 2 0 8 9 -
Justin Gray * 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 5 -
Norense Odiase * 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
T. Hamilton IV 20 3-5 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 8 7 -
Niem Stevenson 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
Brandone Francis 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
Z. Smith 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
Davide Moretti 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Josh Webster 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter