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2018-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 62.5% 37.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: USC Trojans +20 (74-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Pritchard * 38 1-11 1-6 1-2 3 7 3 0 2 4 4 -
M. McIntosh * 33 9-17 2-6 1-1 4 0 1 0 1 21 8 -
T. Brown Jr. * 32 4-13 1-4 2-2 5 2 2 0 5 11 2 -
E. Brown * 25 6-11 4-9 0-1 5 2 1 0 4 16 9 -
P. White * 22 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 0 3 2 0 2 8 -
K. Wooten 18 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 2 1 2 0 3 -
V. Bailey Jr. 11 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
A. Kigab 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Smith 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
R. Sorkin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Metu * 38 4-6 0-1 2-2 9 2 1 3 2 10 17 -
J. Mathews * 38 8-10 7-9 4-4 3 3 3 0 2 27 24 -
E. Stewart * 36 5-10 3-6 2-3 5 1 0 1 2 15 10 -
J. McLaughlin * 36 3-13 0-5 3-3 3 9 4 1 10 9 3 -
N. Rakocevic * 32 3-5 0-0 1-2 11 0 1 0 2 7 12 -
S. Aaron 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
J. Usher 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. O'Bannon Jr. 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Karis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Henderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter