Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | -2.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -11 (64-75). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman * | 38 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Charles Matthews * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Zavier Simpson * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Moritz Wagner * | 28 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Livers * | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Duncan Robinson | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jon Teske | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jaaron Simmons | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Winston * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Miles Bridges * | 33 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Jackson Jr. * | 24 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 26 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lourawls Nairn Jr. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter