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2018-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% +0.6 โœ— (1.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - โœ—
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 โœ— (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% - โœ—

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -1 (68-69). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shep Garner * 37 4-7 3-6 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 13 7 -
Tony Carr * 36 9-17 4-7 3-5 6 5 0 1 3 25 17 -
Josh Reaves * 34 2-12 1-4 4-4 7 4 1 0 1 9 8 -
Lamar Stevens * 32 4-14 1-2 6-7 7 2 0 1 1 15 10 -
John Harrar * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
Julian Moore 28 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 0 5 10 -
Jamari Wheeler 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 -
Nazeer Bostick 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keita Bates-Diop * 37 10-20 2-5 3-4 5 2 1 2 2 25 13 -
C.J. Jackson * 33 1-6 1-5 2-2 4 6 0 0 0 5 9 -
Kam Williams * 33 4-8 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 3 1 10 8 -
Kaleb Wesson * 20 2-6 0-1 1-3 3 4 0 0 1 5 5 -
Jae'Sean Tate * 19 4-9 1-1 1-1 7 0 1 1 2 10 8 -
Andrew Dakich 26 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Andre Wesson 24 3-4 1-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
Micah Potter 8 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 3 0 -

* = starter