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2018-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Margin 6.6% 93.4% +14.6 โœ“ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.4% 94.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brevin Pritzl * 39 1-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
Khalil Iverson * 37 5-6 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 0 1 10 10 -
Brad Davison * 34 4-14 2-8 0-0 4 5 1 0 1 10 5 -
Ethan Happ * 26 10-15 0-0 2-4 4 4 0 2 1 22 16 -
Nate Reuvers * 20 3-8 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
Aleem Ford 28 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 9 7 -
Alex Illikainen 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Charles Thomas 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Andy Van Vliet 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cassius Winston * 35 6-15 1-7 4-4 5 5 0 1 2 17 11 -
Joshua Langford * 32 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 4 1 -
Nick Ward * 15 3-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
J. Jackson Jr. * 15 3-4 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 2 1 7 7 -
Matt McQuaid 25 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Kenny Goins 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Xavier Tillman 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 3 0 2 7 -
Gavin Schilling 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
L. Nairn Jr. 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter