Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +2.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +9 (96-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lucas * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Nichols * | 33 | 10-18 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 13 | - |
| L. Black * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Alstork * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Finke | 21 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. Jordan | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ma. Smith | 17 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| G. Eboigbodin | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Cook * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Luka Garza * | 31 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Bohannon * | 30 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 8-8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Isaiah Moss * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jack Nunge * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nicholas Baer | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Maishe Dailey | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Cordell Pemsl | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brady Ellingson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ahmad Wagner | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Kriener | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter