Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +23 (86-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 30 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Alex Reese * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Galin Smith * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Petty | 23 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Braxton Key | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Giddens | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Lawson Schaffer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 9-12 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Knox * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Nick Richards * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Quade Green | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 25 | 7-8 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Sacha Killeya-Jones | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brad Calipari | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter