Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✗ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -18 (63-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 34 | 10-16 | 6-8 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Galin Smith * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Herb Jones * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| John Petty | 31 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Braxton Key | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Alex Reese | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lawson Schaffer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Giddens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Will Macoy | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Keim | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cole Blackstock | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mustapha Heron * | 34 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Jared Harper * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -1 | - |
| DeSean Murray * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Horace Spencer * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Davion Mitchell | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter