Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont Waters * | 35 | 10-20 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Skylar Mays * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Duop Reath * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Epps * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Randy Onwuasor * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Rachal | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Daryl Edwards | 27 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Sampson | 27 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Wayde Sims | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Weatherspoon * | 35 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Lamar Peters * | 31 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Xavian Stapleton * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aric Holman | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| KeyShawn Feazell | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eli Wright | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter