Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +18 (88-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Gibbs * | 40 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Matt Farrell * | 39 | 4-13 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Rex Pflueger * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Bonzie Colson * | 31 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Martinas Geben * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| John Mooney | 9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Elijah Burns | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Austin Torres | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Djogo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Gregory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 39 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| M. Bagley III * | 38 | 15-23 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 29 | - |
| G. Trent Jr. * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Trevon Duval * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter