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2018-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 โœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +19 (78-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Battle * 39 4-21 2-8 5-5 3 2 1 0 1 15 -1 -
Frank Howard * 39 4-18 1-7 3-3 2 4 3 0 7 12 -4 -
Oshae Brissett * 38 7-14 5-7 1-2 10 0 1 1 1 20 17 -
Marek Dolezaj * 37 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
Paschal Chukwu * 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 0 2 8 -
Bourama Sidibe 22 2-3 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 0 0 4 11 -
Matthew Moyer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Patrick Herlihy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ray Featherston 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Braedon Bayer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Adrian Autry 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Shaun Belbey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Berry II * 36 2-9 2-7 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 8 3 -
Kenny Williams * 34 7-11 2-5 1-1 3 2 3 1 0 17 15 -
Cameron Johnson * 34 5-12 2-6 1-2 5 4 0 0 1 13 9 -
Luke Maye * 33 4-9 0-1 5-7 9 2 2 0 4 13 13 -
Theo Pinson * 30 4-9 0-0 8-10 11 6 2 1 2 16 25 -
Garrison Brooks 8 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
Sterling Manley 7 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Brandon Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Andrew Platek 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Seventh Woods 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Shea Rush 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Huffman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kane Ma 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Walker Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Aaron Rohlman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter