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2018-03-08

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 13.1% 86.9% -
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 61.2% 38.8% -
Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% -
Log Adjusted 67.5% 32.5% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -7 (73-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Emelogu II * 39 6-10 4-8 7-8 8 1 2 0 4 23 20 -
J. McMurray * 37 8-14 3-7 0-0 2 3 3 0 1 19 12 -
J. Whitt Jr. * 36 1-7 1-2 3-4 6 3 1 0 0 6 9 -
E. Landrum * 33 3-9 1-5 0-1 3 0 1 0 1 7 1 -
A. Agau * 24 7-8 0-0 7-8 3 3 0 1 2 21 18 -
E. Chargois 17 1-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 -3 -
W. Douglas 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 1 4 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adams * 40 3-11 0-2 0-0 6 5 0 2 5 6 3 -
C. Vital * 39 8-14 2-5 6-7 6 4 2 0 1 24 21 -
T. Larrier * 39 5-17 0-4 2-3 6 0 2 0 4 12 -1 -
A. Anderson * 36 6-9 2-5 5-7 3 2 2 0 0 19 17 -
J. Carlton * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
M. Diarra 22 4-5 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 1 1 8 11 -
D. Onuorah 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
T. Polley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
I. Whaley 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Cobb 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter