Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (96-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nurse | 40 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 22 | - |
| K. Stokes | 32 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 29 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Charles | 25 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 23 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Hartley | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Allen | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Coleman | 8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. January | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Bonner | 29 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 28 | - |
| S. Talbot | 27 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| B. Griner | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Y. Turner | 17 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Robinson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Peters | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Little | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Guelich | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter