Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | -1.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -15 (78-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 37 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 35 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Bentley | 25 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 24 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Breland | 20 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Monique Billings | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 32 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 29 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 25 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| T. Young | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Bone | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| JiSu Park | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 16 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Nared | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter