Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jantel Lavender | 36 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 35 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Candace Parker | 34 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| R. Williams | 26 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| E. Carson | 20 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Beard | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 15 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 35 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 34 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 34 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 22 | - |
| C. Williams | 26 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 23 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Tuck | 14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 7 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter