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2018-08-17

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.2% 92.8% - โœ“
Margin 5.7% 94.3% +15.4 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kia Nurse 34 1-9 1-7 0-0 3 3 2 0 2 3 0 -
Tina Charles 33 10-16 0-1 1-3 5 1 0 0 4 21 7 -
Kiah Stokes 29 4-7 0-0 2-2 15 1 1 3 0 10 23 -
B. Boyd-Jones 26 4-10 1-1 2-3 1 5 1 0 2 11 6 -
B. Hartley 26 2-11 1-5 3-3 5 2 1 0 2 8 3 -
S. Rodgers 21 4-10 4-8 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 12 9 -
Rebecca Allen 16 2-6 0-1 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
M. Coleman 13 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 6 2 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart 35 6-8 5-6 5-8 15 2 1 2 2 22 32 -
Jewell Loyd 34 3-13 2-6 1-2 2 5 1 0 7 9 -3 -
Alysha Clark 29 4-6 1-3 0-1 2 3 0 1 2 9 7 -
S. Bird 29 5-7 3-4 0-0 5 6 1 0 2 13 16 -
Natasha Howard 23 3-9 0-2 6-7 8 0 3 0 4 12 10 -
C. Langhorne 16 4-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 8 5 -
Jordin Canada 14 1-6 1-4 3-4 0 2 2 0 0 6 4 -
K. Mosqueda-Lewis 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 -1 -
C. Paris 5 1-1 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 0 3 7 -
Sami Whitcomb 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Mercedes Russell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter