Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +9 (104-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bentley | 29 | 8-14 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 29 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| E. Williams | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| T. Hayes | 27 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 6-10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| J. Breland | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Sykes | 22 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| M. Billings | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Dietrick | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Prince | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Elonu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 39 | 8-21 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 26 | - |
| B. January | 38 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Griner | 37 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 32 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 6-18 | 4-13 | 11-12 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 24 | - |
| S. Talbot | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Y. Turner | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Little | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Guelich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter