Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +20 (96-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 35 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 34 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Hill | 32 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| L. Cambage | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 20 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Cayla George | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Romero | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 26 | 10-12 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 28 | - |
| A. Thomas | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Tuck | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Williams | 20 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter