Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +20 (96-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 35 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Tayler Hill * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Kayla Thornton * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Liz Cambage * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 19 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Cayla George | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Glory Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Leticia Romero | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 19 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jonquel Jones | 25 | 10-12 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Morgan Tuck | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lexie Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter